Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 687.919004 773.450289 868.616976 982.935395 1117.295496 1271.136068 1461.957388
2025-02-23 568.317431 682.905458 822.015397 1005.725669 1245.608742 1553.456213 1987.236118
2025-03-02 507.112763 635.883864 801.352440 1034.299443 1361.744917 1818.442272 2528.013229
2025-03-09 457.716989 593.086721 774.912826 1044.306781 1446.626316 2048.796963 3068.585959
2025-03-16 414.768605 551.754159 742.467410 1037.206105 1500.483764 2237.711008 3586.729237
2025-03-23 387.121484 527.543706 729.634483 1054.612051 1591.157860 2498.091182 4293.699924
2025-03-30 351.652228 487.942023 689.056912 1022.456294 1594.413716 2608.840499 4751.535224
2025-04-06 322.301679 454.400193 653.710200 993.276766 1596.539263 2715.400876 5229.195227
2025-04-13 295.945794 422.999394 618.416032 959.401776 1584.235494 2790.729400 5660.444135
2025-04-20 286.131678 416.142469 621.068355 989.845907 1693.559360 3127.363425 6815.179666
2025-04-27 273.407690 403.513932 612.902613 999.832132 1764.768313 3399.704572 7918.069308
2025-05-04 262.173504 392.316909 605.933173 1010.817751 1839.209722 3695.609531 9215.792905
2025-05-11 248.378582 376.386058 590.324809 1005.458258 1882.627372 3939.324019 10512.371433
2025-05-18 240.605823 369.988454 590.838906 1031.446129 1999.091633 4397.006838 12792.031880
2025-05-25 233.952592 364.883778 593.007162 1060.706271 2128.191088 4927.137795 15720.320356
2025-06-01 225.220173 355.480741 586.414956 1071.068800 2214.915625 5368.212292 18660.860452
2025-06-08 214.939205 342.616225 572.260245 1063.731552 2257.077538 5692.397586 21374.648190
2025-06-15 208.596741 336.337385 569.996334 1081.712250 2366.975504 6266.671403 25947.648952
2025-06-22 196.774895 319.379284 545.839238 1048.497301 2336.448175 6369.456046 28028.585282
2025-06-29 186.206568 304.136415 524.001229 1018.364917 2309.785722 6480.680304 30325.828271
2025-07-06 175.873590 288.794549 500.991047 983.393834 2264.651915 6515.350255 32206.286040
2025-07-13 173.238526 287.649248 506.231865 1014.822548 2414.240154 7335.096202 41033.800609
2025-07-20 168.593454 282.418763 502.769727 1025.133653 2504.425853 7964.079188 49653.466962